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Outokumpu Projects June 2025 Stainless Steel Surcharge Reductions: Market Implications

Outokumpu Forecasts Fourth Consecutive Drop in Alloy Surcharges for June 2025

Helsinki, Finland – Outokumpu, Europe’s leading stainless steel producer, has released its preliminary alloy surcharge projections for June 2025, signaling potential continued relief for manufacturers.

The forecast indicates a fourth straight monthly decline across all major grades.

Projected June 2025 Alloy Surcharges (€/ton)

Grade June 2025 (Projected) Monthly Change Annual Change Trend
304 € 1,900 ▼ €84 ▼ €413 4-month decline
316L € 3,123 ▼ €139 ▼ €631 4-month decline
430 € 969 ▼ €48 ▼ €55 4-month decline

Key Observations:

  • 304 stainless steel surcharges projected to be 18% lower than June 2024

  • 316L surgical-grade shows steepest monthly drop (▼€139/ton)

  • 430 ferritic grades remain most stable (▼€48/ton MoM)

Drivers Behind the Projected Decline

1. Expected Nickel Market Trends

  • LME nickel forecasts suggest $17,200-$18,000/ton range by Q2 2025

  • Nickel accounts for ~60% of 316L surcharge costs

2. European Demand Outlook

  • LME nickel forecasts suggest $17,200-$18,000/ton range by Q2 2025

  • Nickel accounts for ~60% of 316L surcharge costs

3. Competitive Landscape

  • Asian mills gaining 12-15% cost advantage on 304 products

  • Outokumpu’s strategic inventory management adjustments

Tabs:Stainless steel flats supplier、2025 stainless steel price

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